World Cup Final: Top Bet
December 17, 2022

Below is our top bet for the 2022 World Cup Final Match.


Argentina (+162) vs France (+187)

Argentina were the more impressive of the two teams in the semifinals, while controlling only 40% of the possession. Their outside backs have been making a ton of overlapping runs down the channels – which has been very successful in terms of creating chances – but it also leaves them a bit vulnerable in transition. If you look at the games Argentina placed so far in this tournament, you see that teams that are able to counter quickly can give Argentina problems. France are the best counter attacking team in the world because that is how they are set up to play.

Argentina’s main problem going forward in the group stage was Messi not having a ton of space to operate and having to come away from the goal to get involved. If Messi has that much space and time, France’s defense will have problems in this final. Mbappe can cause nightmares for everyone, particularly an aggressive back line like Argentina’s. He’s putting up superhuman ball progression and shot numbers.

There is definitely a path for both offenses to have a lot of success here. For Argentina, once they are afforded space in behind, then Messi and company can pick you apart. The same can be said for France. They’re incredibly dangerous because they have the best player in the world.

With the attacking talent that both teams have, this total is far too low. We think the total should be around 2.5, so we recommend taking the over of two goals (-120)

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