This Week’s College Football Over Bets
November 3, 2023

1) USC vs Washington OVER 76

This is the highest total of the week, but it still needs to be higher. Washington is second in the nation averaging 7.9 yards per play and seventh averaging 40.4 ppg. The USC Trojans led the nation scoring 45.9 points per game, and are fourth, racking up 7.1 yards per play. Neither defense matches up to the same level as its high-powered offense. 

Washington has allowed at least 32 points in three of its five conference games this season. The over is also 16-1 in the last 17 USC games, with the lone under coming in a 56-10 victory over Stanford this season. Let’s not overthink this quarterback showdown between Caleb Williams and Michael Penix Jr. Take the over and expect north of 80 points.


2) Missouri vs Georgia OVER 55.5

If it’s possible to say that a defending national champion, currently ranked No. 2 in the nation, is underrated, then the Georgia Bulldogs might be. This Georgia team has scored at least 37 points in six of eight games this season, but they have also allowed at least 20 points in four of their last five games.

Missouri has scored at least 30 points in their last six games. The Bulldogs will win the time of possession battle, but I expect to see both teams get their points, as this total should be closer to 60.


3) Miami vs NC State OVER 44

This will be the first head-to-head meeting between these schools since the Hurricane beat the Wolfpack 31-30 in 2021. 

The Wolfpack offense has struggled at times, but this squad has still scored at least 24 points in six of its eight games this season. Miami has scored at least 28 points in seven of its eight games this season. 

When this total opened, the under had value, but it has now been steamed down seven points from the opening line, giving the over substantial value. 


4) Georgia Tech vs Virginia OVER 56.5

Georgia Tech has been a surprisingly strong over team, with six of their eight games going over the total this season. The Yellow Jackets have allowed at least 38 points in three of their last four games, which even includes a 38-27 home loss to Bowling Green. The Virginia Cavaliers have been trending upwards, scoring at least 24 points in four straight games, but they have also allowed at least 24 points in all four conference games this season. I will take the over.