Philadelphia Eagles (-14, 45) at Houston Texans
November 3, 2022

Here is a look at our best bet for Thursday Night Football.

Philadelphia Eagles (-14, 45) at Houston Texans

Large spreads have not fared too well this season in the NFL, and that can be attributed to the parity around the league. Two touchdowns is a large spread, especially considering how slow offenses have generally looked on Thursday night so far this year, most likely due to the short week. Additionally, given that this is neither a division rivalry game nor two superior football teams, the Eagles may have trouble getting up for this game.

Although the Texans are only 1-5-1 this year, they are a respectable 3-3-1 against the spread. The Texans have been at least 7-point underdogs three times this season, and they tied one of those games, and won the other outright. In short, the Texans are not as bad as we thought they would be despite their record.

The Texans are only getting 22% of the best on this game, but have received 31% of the money thus far, signaling big bettors and sharps have been taking the points. We agree with them, and like the Texans +14. Please note: Some books have moved the line to +13.5 because of the sharp money coming in, so be sure to shop around for the line.