NCAA Basketball: Top Bets
January 11, 2023

Here is a look at our top bets for the college basketball games today.

Alabama Crimson Tide (+1.5, 153.5) vs Arkansas Razorbacks

The over/under is high in this game since each team plays at a very fast pace and has several offensive weapons. However, both teams have a high rated defense as well. Even given the fast pace with which both teams operate, neither team is that efficient when it comes to shooting. The Tide are 82nd in the country in effective field goal percentage (52.3%), while the Razorbacks are 104th with a 51.6 EFG%.

These squads have the length and athleticism to guard each other and they both lock down perimeter shooters.

The current total of 163.5 for this game is 4.5 points higher than the projected total at KenPom as some sharps have driven up the total.

We like Under 163.5.


St. Bonaventure Bonnies (+2.5, 133.5) vs. Rhode Island Rams

So far this season, nine of the Rams’ 15 games have hit the over and Rhode Island’s games have had more than 132.5 points scored on 11 occasions this season. The over/under in this matchup is 4.5 points fewer than the average total in this season’s Rams contests.

Additionally, out simulations have shown that the O/U should be around 135.5, two points higher than it is currently. There is also both big money and sharp money on the over, with the over getting 50% of the bets but 78% of the money.

We like the Over of 133.5 in this game.